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New Zealand Statistical Association Newsletter 58

September 2003

Copy of letter from NZSA Executive to Hon. Pete Hodgson,
Minister for Research Science and Technology
and Minister for Crown Research Institutes
22/12/2003

Following discussion at recent NZSA Executive meetings, a letter from the NZSA to Hon. Pete Hodgson has been written, requesting a review of the current FRST funding system for CRIs. This was sent on 22 December 2003. Related discussion is included below.


Royal Society Alert Editorial 289 - Steve Thompson
Comment on above - Rod Ball
Royal Society Alert Editorial 291 - Steve Thompson
Royal Society Alert Editorial 292 - Steve Thompson
Exodus of soil 'giants' tipped - NZ Herald  
Solving science's image problem - NZ Herald

Science funding and the Open Letter - PSA Noticeboard
Open letter to Minister of Science, Research and Technology PSA
4000 scientists warn about research - NZ Herald  18/12/2003
Royal Society Alert 303 - John Maindonald 18/12/2003
MoRST home page
The i3 Challenge Update - MoRST November 2003 Update
A Bouquet for FRST - Tarsha Thrush 20/1/2004

ROYAL SOCIETY OF NEW ZEALAND

Royal Society Alert 289
11 September, 2003

1. THE FORK IN THE ROAD
Comment by Royal Society CEO, Dr Steve Thompson
(
Steve.Thompson@rsnz.org)

A diffuse cloud of feedback has come my way recently, most of it concerning degrees of irritation or outrage with recent FRST funding decisions. I used to work there, and would defend them against some of the more extreme criticisms, but behind it all lies a residue which could be summed up as a deep concern that we are doing something dreadfully wrong in the way we set priorities in science. As someone put it last week, we've had STEP, SPiR, Foresight, Vacuum, and most recently, an opaque and unfathomable system for deciding science priorities.

New Zealand is one of the few countries to have a CRI system, and one of the few countries which funds a large part of its research via sector-oriented portfolios, and we do tend to tinker with the structure of our system in the hope that structural change will somehow bring to light the right objectives and direction for New Zealand science. After ten years of structural change, perhaps it's time to step back, draw on a decade of experience, and ask again: how should we set priorities for science? When we have decided where we are going, structures should follow naturally.

Every September, the MoRST runs an invitational "Directions Forum" in which it has discussed the place of the various science funding instruments within the science vote. This year they want to widen their sights and look at the place of the Science Vote in designing New Zealand's future. Should the advice be "press forward", or "pause, reflect, and learn from some the unintended side effects"?

Letter to Editor - Rod Ball

Very few people in FRST stay for more than a couple of years, and even fewer have any experience working in science. The new crowd of outwardly confident bureaucrats agrees the previous approaches were a disaster but always thinks they have the answer. Just because FRST can't understand govt policy is no excuse for the kind of destruction they are wreaking.

To correct these statements:

Its not the CRI system where we're unique (the only thing unique about it is the name e.g. in the UK the have the IACR, or the Institute for Food Science, in the US they have Los Alamos National Labs, Fermilab, Jackson Lab, US Forest Products Lab etc). The UK has institutes, the US has labs. Who did we copy? There's nothing wrong with CRIs per se. They are smaller, lacking critical mass compared with DSIR, but on the other hand are more focussed. IT'S THE WAY THEY ARE FUNDED, THROUGH A CENTRAL BUREAUCRACY. IT'S THE TOTAL FLEXIBILITY OF THE BUREAUCRACY TO COMPLETELY CHANGE THE PROCESS, THE CRITERIA, WHO COMPETES WITH WHO ETC, without any thought to the consequences, or apparently, so far without any accountability for the consequences, that is the problem. I suggest that in future, if we get the system sorted out, if there is a bureaucracy, one part of the system should be that the bureaucracy do not get that power to make changes to the funding framework or vehicles without general consultation and agreement across the science sector. What IS unique is the total lack of respect for scientists and the way scientists have lost out to bureaucrats.

And we don't have 'sector oriented portfolios'. One of the reasons FRST is so bad is the bizarre way they try to get people in totally different industry sectors and science fields to compete for the same pool of money. E.g. in the 'sustainability round' they pitted forest tree breeding and apple breeding against 'sustainable cities', 'water catchments' and biosecurity. Tree breeding, and apple breeding was wiped out.(*) (**) Mike Carson, manager of the radiata pine breeding coop, said that it was to a large extent a `political' decision - there was only one person on the panel sympathetic to forestry. The funding system fails to recognise that most CRI groups have a unique combination of science capability and application experience in their sector in NZ. In many areas, capability can be damaged by losing one or two people. They also fail to appreciate dependencies such as the need for a tree breeding capability, germplasm etc, if you are going to realise benefits from biotech/molecular biology which is currently the 'high tech' flavour of the month. Therefore you can't have science groups `competing' the way FRST does and preserve science capability the way FRST and the CRIs are required to by law.

(*) In one previous year applied mathematics was pitted against and lost funding to physical measurement standards.
(**) Logically government should decide the priorities and relative funding for different sectors. Currently, which sectors win out becomes a lottery. As one NZ mathematician wrote in the the NZMS journal "FRST is Albanian for Lotto".

If we really did have sector oriented portfolios (i.e. totally separate funds for forestry, agriculture, horticulture, environment etc) maybe things would roll along quite smoothly as they seem to do with the MRC.

Quite simply the FRST (NSF type fund) is not the way to fund a government research lab. It's a funding vehicle suitable for elite science by small teams or individuals. Even in the US, where they also have the DOD, DOE, NIH, NSA, Army, Navy, USDA etc etc., fields such as pure maths, which depend solely on the NSF are seriously disadvantaged.

It doesn't matter how many iterations of changes they go through their process, the criteria, the pools (who competes with who), and they keep moving the goalposts, it will never be suitable. The only constants are the continual need to fill in forms and comply with the latest buzzwords e.g `step change'. It doesn't matter if you heed what they are saying, bend over backwards to comply, or if they say "it's a good bid you should get funded", as one of my colleagues in soil science was told etc. What FRST says and what actually happens are 2 different things. FRST just keeps pulling the rug from under the CRI researchers. One former DSIR director once said (when asked about a particular funding outcome)

"there are lies damned lies and statements from FRST".

And some people (fellows) in the Royal Society think we are in a golden age in science.

FRST operates a system for running science when you don't understand science. This is impossible, therefore you can't have bureaucrats running science. My cousin, a former top treasury accountant agreed - bureaucrats shouldn't be running science. But he didn't think businessmen or scientists should be running science either. But someone has to. Scientists need to be running science, with scientists choosing which business and administrative services they wish to pay for. We can always hope for the day.

Rod Ball

ROYAL SOCIETY OF NEW ZEALAND

Royal Society Alert 291
25 September, 2003

TWELVE IN SEARCH OF A BETTER LIFE
Comment by Royal Society CEO Dr Steve Thompson
Steve.Thompson@rsnz.org

The latest issue of the New Zealand Science Review contains a fascinating set of articles on policy options for science and technology. The twelve policy authors come from backgrounds of working in MoRST, FRST and the CRIs, so some significant points of view from the innovation gurus, other researchers and the private sector are missing. The twelve show a remarkable degree of convergence in their policy prescriptions for New Zealand.

Viewed from aloft, the public sees science as specialist and self-interested or, as the prime minister apparently mused, evil and boring! Most authors blamed uncertainty and lack of direction in science policy. They advocated much closer alignment between MoRST and FRST, even to the extent of merging them. More core funding and less contestability would combat uncertainty. MoRST saw policy direction as stemming from government's innovation strategy, while others saw it as involving scientists in priority setting, and on the boards of CRIs.

Current contestability is seen as leading to high volatility, fragmentation, and abrupt changes in research direction. One writer suggested simplifying down to four main funds (university research, sectoral research, value creation, and technology development), while others wanted to increase core funding and put more money into all forms of research. Career fragility was a major concern, with more stable funding seen as one solution. Others advocated closer university/CRI linkages, and devolving more decisions from FRST (which had become a de facto employer of scientists) back to research providers.

While there was remarkable concurrence, the list above is depressing. It tinkers with structure, but it won't make the kiwi fly. How can we make our minds soar above the mundane? Where are our imaginations?

ROYAL SOCIETY OF NEW ZEALAND

Royal Society Alert 292
2 October, 2003

THE BIGGER PICTURE
Comment by Royal Society CEO Dr Steve Thompson
Steve.Thompson@rsnz.org

Last week, MoRST held its annual "Vote Meeting" for 100 or so stakeholders in Wellington. The Minister kicked off the day by saying he was looking for solutions, rather than re-identifying the problems. He asked people to look at evolution rather than radical change. The place to discuss radical changes was in other fora. At the end, he thought that the day was productive, and that participants liked the idea of devolving more decision power from FRST to providers. He was not impressed by "whingeing" about transaction costs.

MoRST took home a swath of flip charts. On science priority setting, participants said that "one size" of planning doesn't fit all. They wanted MoRST and FRST roles clarified and aligned, to think in terms of Outcomes and Capabilities, and to provide an enabling environment for science. One ominous comment saw a need to "modify scientists' perceptions of their job stability", while others saw a need for mid career training to enable transition when funding ended.

At the end of the day, MoRST released its new progress report, which contains a good stocktake of the system today. Two papers on science and the innovation system are currently before Cabinet, and acting CEO Helen Anderson urged us all to watch the MoRST website for future developments.

My thoughts on this: yes, we have identified the problems of the science sector ad nauseam, and we do need solutions, but there is perhaps a necessary precursor, and that is to set clear objectives within the larger framework. Otherwise we run the risk of solutions searching for rationales.

Science funding and the Open Letter - PSA Noticeboard December 2003

Richard Wagstaff (national secretary) Paula Scholes and Craig Ross (from the national science committee), Malcolm Blair, (organiser for the science sector) and Sue O'Shea (PSA policy advisor) met with Minister Pete Hodgson on 27 November to discuss our concerns about the current funding environment and the implications for CRI-based science capability, as signalled in MoRST's i3 programme.

While the Minister signalled a move towards a more "stability" focussed funding mechanism, for example, a performance-based funding model, it is likely that significant changes will not be implemented until the 2005 funding round.

A feedback loop at senior management level is currently being implemented which will progress the move to greater stability of funding and perhaps avoid crises in some CRIs in the next round, but these changes will be "modest".

PSA is disappointed with the slowness of implementation of the i3 strategy, which identified the need to look for more stable ways to fund capability. In the meantime, science research capability within the CRIs is being further eroded.

We will continue to campaign to ensure science research capability is maintained.  We will also be seeking to be consulted on any changes to the funding process.



ROYAL SOCIETY OF NEW ZEALAND

Royal Society Alert 303
18 December, 2003

UNDULATING SCIENCE: A VIEW FROM ACROSS THE WAVES
Guest comment on last week's Editorial
John Maindonald,  ANU, Canberra

The change to CRIs fractured a science effort that was modest by international standards. First, a rigid cost-shop funding model was imposed that discouraged cooperation across cost-shop boundaries and created severe difficulty for those whose minds and energies ranged across multiple areas of application, and who were often the vehicles for cross-fertilization. Next, the whole set-up was split into nine parts, separated by walls that were at least of timber construction and often seemed like concrete. There was a huge and wasteful multiplication of management structures and scientific resources. 

The system was bad when it was created. It, and the mindsets that created it, surely now offer almost insuperable barriers to the new ways of doing science that were desirable in 1992 and are mandatory in 2003. It is ironic that the specialists whose skills crossed disciplinary boundaries, many of whom did not fare well in the change to CRIs, now find unprecedented demand for their skills. Particularly in mind here are computer-oriented mathematical and statistical specialists, and the new librarians of the era of the internet. (There has been a remarkable transformation, in the past decade, in the work of skilled librarians in the two Australian universities of which I have had direct experience.)

Incidentally, you must be aware of the UK e-science initiative, one major component of which is the use of the internet and of internet-based resources to foster cooperation, nationally and internationally, across different groups of disciplinary specialists. (http://www.e-science.clrc.ac.uk/web)

I agree that Centres of Research Excellence are the way to go. To be effective, there must be a large amount of freedom for them to move where the scientific spirit takes them. I wonder how much CRIs have done, since I left New Zealand in 1996, to foster the training and development and retention of the computer-oriented specialists in mathematical and statistical applications who should be taking a major role in such centres.

As for myself, I am glad indeed that, late in my career, I moved from the CRI system. Professionally, I have come to life. I have had a huge lot of fun, dabbling in everything from epidemiology and 19th century wage movements to genomics. In my experience at ANU, there has been a remarkable absence of barriers to those from different areas of the University who wish to work co-operatively.

A Bouquet for FRST - Tarsha Thrush

I have just recently joined NZSA and am thrilled that there is a place for young Statisticians like me instead of just business managers, accountants etc..

I am a bit sad to see people saying bad things about FRST, although there is a lot of political issues involved. I just want people to know they do indeed do some good - I am a recipient of a scholarship from them for the next two years (and they normally only do one year, so am thrilled they made an exception on that) to complete my Masters in Science in Statistics.  I will be doing a two year thesis with the help of Albany Massey University, and Fonterra in Statistical product yield control.

I would just like to say if it was not for FRST I would not be doing my masters at all, as I do not have parents able to pay for my education, or a nice bank balance; just a large student loan from just finishing my BInfSc in Statistics and Mathematics.  FRST has helped me become someone and do something I only thought I could dream of doing, so although the politics are indeed nasty, at the end of the day they are helping students like myself to become the country's future professionals in our "dying field".

Thank you,
 Tarsha

 

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